August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Gwangju • Hard • Apr 21, 2026 • 7:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner August Holmgren
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yunchaokete Bu
56% · 9–7 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Yunchaokete Bu are set to meet at the Gwangju on April 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 12–12 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bu has posted a 9–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bu, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Holmgren leads 1–0 over Bu, including a win in their most recent meeting.