Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Gwangju • Hard • Apr 21, 2026 • 3:50 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Ilia Simakin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Bolt
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ilia Simakin
66% · 43–22 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Bolt and Ilia Simakin are set to meet at the Gwangju on April 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bolt enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Simakin has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Simakin, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Simakin leads 1–0 over Bolt, including a win in their most recent meeting.