Marta Kostyuk vs Tatjana Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rouen • Clay • Apr 18, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
66%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tatjana Maria
17% · 2–10 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marta Kostyuk and Tatjana Maria are set to meet at the Rouen on April 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kostyuk enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Maria has posted a 5–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kostyuk entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kostyuk leads 3–0 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.