Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 17, 2026 • 11:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Machac
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,443 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,443 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,229 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,229 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Machac and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Machac enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Rublev has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rublev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 2–1 over Machac, including a win in their most recent meeting.