Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Munich • Clay • Apr 17, 2026 • 3:40 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex Molcan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Denis Shapovalov
50% · 6–6 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,104 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,104 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex Molcan
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,856 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,856 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Denis Shapovalov and Alex Molcan are set to meet at the Munich on April 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Shapovalov enters with a 2–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Molcan has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shapovalov entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.