Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Munich • Clay • Apr 16, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Denis Shapovalov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Denis Shapovalov
50% · 6–6 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,104 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,104 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Fabian Marozsan
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,351 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,351 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Denis Shapovalov and Fabian Marozsan are set to meet at the Munich on April 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Shapovalov enters with a 2–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Marozsan has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shapovalov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shapovalov leads 1–0 over Marozsan, including a win in their most recent meeting.