Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Bueno · Match odds & ELO prediction
Santa Cruz • Clay • Apr 16, 2026 • 1:20 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Gonzalo Bueno
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federico Coria
0% · 0–1 on hard
54% · 20–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gonzalo Bueno
57% · 42–32 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~729 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~729 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Federico Coria and Gonzalo Bueno are set to meet at the Santa Cruz on April 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Coria enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bueno has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bueno entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bueno leads 1–0 over Coria, including a win in their most recent meeting.