Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 16, 2026 • 5:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Arthur Fils
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Fils
61% · 11–7 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,275 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,275 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,482 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,482 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Fils and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fils enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Nakashima has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fils, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.