Lorenzo Carboni vs Niels McDonald · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3 • Clay • Apr 16, 2026 • 12:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Lorenzo Carboni
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Carboni
70% · 21–9 on hard
56% · 22–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Niels McDonald
0% · 0–5 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Carboni and Niels McDonald are set to meet at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3 on April 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carboni enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while McDonald has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carboni entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Carboni leads 1–0 over McDonald, including a win in their most recent meeting.