Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 16, 2026 • 2:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,034 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,034 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Corentin Moutet and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Moutet enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Musetti has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Musetti leads 3–0 over Moutet, including a win in their most recent meeting.