Liam Draxl vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tallahassee • Clay • Apr 15, 2026 • 3:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Liam Draxl
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~664 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~664 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Liam Draxl and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao are set to meet at the Tallahassee on April 15, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Draxl enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Joao has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Joao, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Draxl leads 2–1 over Joao.