Elmer Moller vs Nicolas Jarry · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 3 • Clay • Apr 14, 2026 • 4:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nicolas Jarry
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elmer Moller
25% · 1–3 on hard
43% · 6–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,487 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,487 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolas Jarry
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.6 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elmer Moller and Nicolas Jarry are set to meet at the Oeiras 3 on April 14, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Moller enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while Jarry has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Moller entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jarry leads 1–0 over Moller, including a win in their most recent meeting.