Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Li · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rouen • Clay • Apr 13, 2026 • 11:40 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Ann Li
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ann Li
38% · 5–8 on hard
63% · 5–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,173 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,173 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Ann Li are set to meet at the Rouen on April 13, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 5–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Li has posted a 5–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Li, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Li leads 1–0 over Kasatkina, including a win in their most recent meeting.