Alex Bolt vs James McCabe · Match odds & ELO prediction
Busan • Hard • Apr 14, 2026 • 2:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex Bolt
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Bolt
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
James McCabe
62% · 16–10 on hard
75% · 3–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Bolt and James McCabe are set to meet at the Busan on April 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bolt enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while McCabe has posted a 16–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bolt, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.