Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 14, 2026 • 12:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29% · 2–5 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,817 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,817 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.6 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 14, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 12–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Khachanov has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Khachanov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Carabelli leads 1–0 over Khachanov, including a win in their most recent meeting.