Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mexico City • Clay • Apr 11, 2026 • 8:40 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Stefano Napolitano
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luka Pavlovic
25% · 1–3 on hard
61% · 30–19 on clay
67% · 2–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,636 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,636 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luka Pavlovic and Stefano Napolitano are set to meet at the Mexico City on April 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pavlovic enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Napolitano has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Napolitano leads 2–1 over Pavlovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.