Maria Timofeeva vs Yaroslava Bartashevich · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rouen • Clay • Apr 11, 2026 • 9:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Timofeeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Timofeeva
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,881 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,881 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 86% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yaroslava Bartashevich
47% · 9–10 on hard
43% · 13–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
6 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~123 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~123 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Timofeeva and Yaroslava Bartashevich are set to meet at the Rouen on April 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Timofeeva enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bartashevich has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Timofeeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Timofeeva leads 1–0 over Bartashevich, including a win in their most recent meeting.