Fajing Sun vs Pavel Kotov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wuning (China) • Hard • Apr 11, 2026 • 7:55 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Pavel Kotov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Fajing Sun
63% · 19–11 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~582 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~582 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Fajing Sun and Pavel Kotov are set to meet at the Wuning (China) on April 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sun enters with a 19–11 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kotov has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kotov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kotov leads 1–0 over Sun, including a win in their most recent meeting.