Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 9, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Joao Fonseca
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Berrettini
60% · 3–2 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Berrettini and Joao Fonseca are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Berrettini enters with a 7–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Fonseca has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fonseca entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.