Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 9, 2026 • 2:00 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Toby Samuel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Sakellaridis
70% · 42–18 on hard
53% · 9–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~654 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~654 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Toby Samuel
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Stefanos Sakellaridis and Toby Samuel are set to meet at the Madrid on April 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sakellaridis enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Samuel has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Samuel leads 2–0 over Sakellaridis, including a win in their most recent meeting.