Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 8, 2026 • 1:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,690 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,690 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marin Cilic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,894 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,894 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.4 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marin Cilic are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Cilic has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cilic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 4–1 over Cilic, including a win in their most recent meeting.