A. Hernandez vs Karl Poling · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mexico City • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 7:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner A. Hernandez
Key insights
Player performance profile
A. Hernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karl Poling
35% · 6–11 on hard
60% · 3–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
A. Hernandez and Karl Poling are set to meet at the Mexico City on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Hernandez enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Poling has posted a 3–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Hernandez, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Hernandez leads 1–0 over Poling, including a win in their most recent meeting.