Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machac · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 8, 2026 • 12:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Tomas Machac
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,796 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,796 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Machac
62% · 8–5 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,714 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,714 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Tomas Machac are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Cerundolo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Machac has posted a 4–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Machac entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Machac leads 1–0 over Cerundolo, including a win in their most recent meeting.