Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 10:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marin Cilic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marin Cilic
57% · 8–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,992 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,992 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Shevchenko
52% · 11–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marin Cilic and Alexander Shevchenko are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Cilic enters with a 2–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Shevchenko has posted a 4–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Cilic leads 1–0 over Shevchenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.