Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 1:15 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gael Monfils
61% · 14–9 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,214 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,214 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gael Monfils and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Monfils enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bublik has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Monfils leads 2–1 over Bublik.