Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigato · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid (Spain) • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 11:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lisa Pigato
Key insights
Player performance profile
Darja Semenistaja
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,161 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,161 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lisa Pigato
75% · 9–3 on hard
82% · 18–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~293 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~293 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Darja Semenistaja and Lisa Pigato are set to meet at the Madrid (Spain) on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Semenistaja enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Pigato has posted a 18–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Semenistaja, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pigato leads 1–0 over Semenistaja, including a win in their most recent meeting.