Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger · Match odds & ELO prediction
Linz • Hard • Apr 7, 2026 • 2:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lilli Tagger
Key insights
Player performance profile
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lilli Tagger
74% · 14–5 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,921 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,921 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Paula Badosa and Lilli Tagger are set to meet at the Linz on April 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Badosa enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tagger has posted a 14–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Badosa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tagger leads 1–0 over Badosa, including a win in their most recent meeting.