Luca Nardi vs Valentin Royer · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monza • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 3:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Valentin Royer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Nardi
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Valentin Royer
17% · 2–10 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,828 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,828 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca Nardi and Valentin Royer are set to meet at the Monza on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Nardi enters with a 0–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Royer has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Royer entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.