Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connell · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monza • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 10:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Raphael Collignon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Christopher O'Connell
50% · 9–9 on hard
0% · 0–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,526 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,526 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Raphael Collignon and Christopher O'Connell are set to meet at the Monza on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Collignon enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while O'Connell has posted a 0–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Collignon entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Collignon leads 1–0 over O'Connell, including a win in their most recent meeting.