Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 6, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,229 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,229 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuno Borges
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,620 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,620 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Rublev enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Borges has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rublev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 4–0 over Borges, including a win in their most recent meeting.