Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 6, 2026 • 2:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Joao Fonseca
Key insights
Player performance profile
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,411 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,411 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gabriel Diallo
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,824 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,824 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Joao Fonseca and Gabriel Diallo are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fonseca enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Diallo has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fonseca, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fonseca leads 2–1 over Diallo, including a win in their most recent meeting.