Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Muller · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 4, 2026 • 2:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexandre Muller
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jan Choinski
45% · 5–6 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexandre Muller
33% · 2–4 on hard
54% · 7–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,502 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,502 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 90% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jan Choinski and Alexandre Muller are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 4, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Choinski enters with a 4–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while Muller has posted a 7–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Choinski entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Muller leads 2–1 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.