Jasmin Ortenzi vs Julia Riera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Apr 3, 2026 • 4:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jasmin Ortenzi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmin Ortenzi
33% · 1–2 on hard
72% · 13–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,341 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,341 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Julia Riera
33% · 1–2 on hard
61% · 14–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,945 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,945 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmin Ortenzi and Julia Riera are set to meet at the Bogota on April 3, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ortenzi enters with a 13–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Riera has posted a 14–9 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Riera leads 2–1 over Ortenzi.