Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Charleston • Clay • Apr 1, 2026 • 5:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
83% · 19–4 on hard
86% · 6–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yulia Putintseva
59% · 10–7 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,464 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,464 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Yulia Putintseva are set to meet at the Charleston on April 1, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 6–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Putintseva has posted a 2–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pegula entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 4–0 over Putintseva, including a win in their most recent meeting.