BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva · Match odds & ELO prediction

Charleston • Clay • Apr 1, 2026 • 5:00 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Jessica Pegula

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jessica Pegula

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

60%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,982 points across 88 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.396% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.573% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.360% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%73% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yulia Putintseva

HARD

67% · 42 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,005 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.654% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.434% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.612% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
39%23% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jessica Pegula and Yulia Putintseva are set to meet at the Charleston on April 1, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pegula enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Putintseva has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pegula entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 4–0 over Putintseva, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Pegula and Putintseva have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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