Miriana Tona vs Lia Karatancheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Mar 29, 2026 • 6:45 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lia Karatancheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Miriana Tona
50% · 5–5 on hard
60% · 25–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.3 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lia Karatancheva
27% · 3–8 on hard
54% · 27–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~623 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~623 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Miriana Tona and Lia Karatancheva are set to meet at the Bogota on March 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tona enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Karatancheva has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Karatancheva leads 1–0 over Tona, including a win in their most recent meeting.