Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Tatjana Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Mar 30, 2026 • 6:55 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Tatjana Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
36%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~251 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~251 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.6 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tatjana Maria
17% · 2–10 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Valentina Mediorreal Arias and Tatjana Maria are set to meet at the Bogota on March 30, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Arias enters with a 0–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Maria has posted a 5–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 1–0 over Arias, including a win in their most recent meeting.