Emiliana Arango vs Lourdes Carle Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Mar 31, 2026 • 7:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Emiliana Arango
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emiliana Arango
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,508 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,508 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.5 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emiliana Arango and Lourdes Carle Maria are set to meet at the Bogota on March 31, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Arango enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Maria has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Arango leads 3–2 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.