Blake Ellis vs Naoya Honda · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miyazaki (Japan) • Hard • Mar 31, 2026 • 4:00 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Blake Ellis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Blake Ellis
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Naoya Honda
42% · 16–22 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Blake Ellis and Naoya Honda are set to meet at the Miyazaki (Japan) on March 31, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Ellis enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Honda has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ellis entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ellis leads 1–0 over Honda, including a win in their most recent meeting.