Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montemar • Clay • Mar 27, 2026 • 12:30 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Pablo Carreno-Busta
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pedro Martinez
67% · 6–3 on hard
41% · 7–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,297 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,297 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
53% · 8–7 on hard
79% · 11–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,434 points across 41 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,434 points across 41 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pedro Martinez and Pablo Carreno-Busta are set to meet at the Montemar on March 27, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Martinez enters with a 7–10 record on clay courts in 2026, while Carreno-Busta has posted a 11–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carreno-Busta entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.