Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 26, 2026 • 7:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.1 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the Miami on March 26, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Muchova has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gauff, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 6–1 over Muchova.