BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli · Match odds & ELO prediction

Naples • Clay • Mar 25, 2026 • 12:40 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Federico Bondioli

Key insights

Player performance profile

Sumit Nagal

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,951 points across 13 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.00% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.394% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.856% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
40%21% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Federico Bondioli

HARD

64% · 95 on hard

CLAY

56% · 97 on clay

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.038% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Sumit Nagal and Federico Bondioli are set to meet at the Naples on March 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Nagal enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bondioli has posted a 9–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bondioli leads 2–0 over Nagal, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Nagal and Bondioli alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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