Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Mia Ristic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubrovnik • Clay • Mar 24, 2026 • 10:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mia Ristic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
75% · 3–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~334 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~334 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 75% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mia Ristic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucija Ciric Bagaric and Mia Ristic are set to meet at the Dubrovnik on March 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bagaric enters with a 3–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ristic has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ristic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bagaric leads 2–1 over Ristic.