Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 23, 2026 • 6:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sorana Cirstea
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,950 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,950 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,121 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,121 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sorana Cirstea and Coco Gauff are set to meet at the Miami on March 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cirstea enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gauff has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 1–0 over Cirstea, including a win in their most recent meeting.