Patrick Zahraj vs Karl Poling · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelia • Hard • Mar 22, 2026 • 6:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Patrick Zahraj
Key insights
Player performance profile
Patrick Zahraj
59% · 24–17 on hard
38% · 9–15 on clay
56% · 5–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~905 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~905 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.6 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karl Poling
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Patrick Zahraj and Karl Poling are set to meet at the Morelia on March 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zahraj enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Poling has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zahraj entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zahraj leads 2–0 over Poling, including a win in their most recent meeting.