Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · Match odds & ELO prediction
Murcia • Clay • Mar 22, 2026 • 10:00 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Pablo Carreno-Busta
Key insights
Player performance profile
Roberto Carballes Baena
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,117 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,117 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Roberto Carballes Baena and Pablo Carreno-Busta are set to meet at the Murcia on March 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Baena enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Carreno-Busta has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carreno-Busta entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Carreno-Busta leads 4–2 over Baena, including a win in their most recent meeting.