Qinwen Zheng vs Sloane Stephens · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 21, 2026 • 4:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Qinwen Zheng
Key insights
Player performance profile
Qinwen Zheng
57% · 4–3 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Qinwen Zheng and Sloane Stephens are set to meet at the Miami on March 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zheng enters with a 4–3 record on hard courts in 2026, while Stephens has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zheng entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zheng leads 3–0 over Stephens, including a win in their most recent meeting.