A. Hernandez vs Tibo Colson · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelos • Hard • Mar 17, 2026 • 10:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner A. Hernandez
Key insights
Player performance profile
A. Hernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tibo Colson
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~156 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~156 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
A. Hernandez and Tibo Colson are set to meet at the Morelos on March 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Hernandez enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Colson has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Colson, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.