M. Tobon vs Pablo Ficovich Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelos • Hard • Mar 17, 2026 • 5:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner M. Tobon
Key insights
Player performance profile
M. Tobon
63% · 5–3 on hard
63% · 10–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Pablo Ficovich Juan
55% · 6–5 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,781 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,781 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
M. Tobon and Pablo Ficovich Juan are set to meet at the Morelos on March 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Tobon enters with a 5–3 record on hard courts in 2026, while Juan has posted a 6–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tobon entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.