BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

M. Tobon vs Pablo Ficovich Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction

Morelos • Hard • Mar 17, 2026 • 5:30 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner M. Tobon

Key insights

Player performance profile

M. Tobon

HARD

45% · 56 on hard

CLAY

47% · 1719 on clay

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Pablo Ficovich Juan

HARD

52% · 1110 on hard

CLAY

52% · 2422 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 22 on grass

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,676 points across 19 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.012% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.184% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.114% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

M. Tobon and Pablo Ficovich Juan are set to meet at the Morelos on March 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Tobon enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Juan has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Juan entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Tobon and Juan have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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