Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 19, 2026 • 8:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marin Cilic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marin Cilic
57% · 8–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,140 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,140 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexei Popyrin
18% · 2–9 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marin Cilic and Alexei Popyrin are set to meet at the Miami on March 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cilic enters with a 8–6 record on hard courts in 2026, while Popyrin has posted a 2–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cilic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cilic leads 3–1 over Popyrin, including a win in their most recent meeting.