Francesca Jones vs Venus Williams · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 19, 2026 • 5:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francesca Jones
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesca Jones
38% · 3–5 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,552 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,552 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.8 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Venus Williams
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~872 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~872 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesca Jones and Venus Williams are set to meet at the Miami on March 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Jones enters with a 3–5 record on hard courts in 2026, while Williams has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jones entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jones leads 1–0 over Williams, including a win in their most recent meeting.